Don't tug on Superman's cape

Never underestimate Larry Ellison. Former PeopleSoft CEO Craig Conway is the most recent of those vanquished by the rogue from Redwood City. But there's another triumph coming that might be sweeter for Ellison if only because other people thought he stumbled badly a half-dozen years ago when he might have been ahead of his time.

In 1995, Ellison boldly told the world that he would take on the Microsoft monolith with a new breed of computing device, dubbed the network computer. This would be a low-power, stripped-down hardware platform running a low-power, stripped-down operating system with a Web browser as its user interface. Ellison touted a vision of a $US500 computing device on everyone's desktop. From this idea was born the entire application service provider model of computing in which users would no longer purchase software licences, but would rent or lease the services as they needed them delivered via the browser on their network computer.

The ideas garnered lots of support in the mid 1990s but eventually floundered as people wanted more power on their desktop. With prices on standard PCs dropping below $1000, the network computer looked less desirable. We'd thought Microsoft had won that war, but it might have only won a battle.

A couple of weeks ago, at the Processor Forum conference in San Jose, Bob Bailey, CEO of chip maker PMC-Sierra, announced a new consortium of chip makers aligned with Asian (primarily Chinese) manufacturers that would re-launch the network computer, dubbed by some the "open source" computer. One main difference with the new network computer would be price -- Bailey estimated a retail target of $US150. Not only would it cost less, but it would also do more.

The new network computer would run an almost free distribution of Linux coupled with free or low-cost open source applications on top of a commoditized hardware platform. Server-based computing is also helped by today's larger, less-expensive bandwidth than that available in 1995. The new network computer's success isn't guaranteed, of course, but the genesis was Ellison's idea. And to paraphrase the late (songwriter and guitarist) Jim Croce:

Don't tug on Superman's cape
Don't spit into the wind
Don't pull the mask off the Lone Ranger
And you don't mess with Larry Ellison.

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