Computerworld
AI will surpass human intelligence after 2020
Artificial Intelligence a likely future, professor says
Peter Moon (IDG Now (Brazil))  07 May, 2007 10:26

Could nanotechnology, genetic engineering and quantum computers could represent a threat to Mankind, as Bill Joy, the former Sun executive, warned in 2000 with his "Why the future doesn't need us"?

The world (and the universe) is full of mortal threats. Technology is the source of some of those threats -- but it has also protected us from others. I believe that technology itself is life's surest response to the ongoing risks.

Right now the Pentagon is employing 5,000 robots in Iraq, patrolling cities, disarming explosives or making reconnaissance flights. The next step is allowing them to carry weapons. Does this lead to a "Terminator" scenario?

That's conceivable, though not a reason for turning away from robotics in general. Old-fashioned thermonuclear world war and some types of biowarfare are much simpler, more likely, and probably more deadly than the "Terminator" scenario.

You set the plot of your last novel, "Rainbows End," in 2025. It's a world where people Google all the time, everywhere, using wearable computers, and omnipresent sensors. Do you think this is a plausible future?

It was about the most plausible (non-catastrophic) 2025 scenario that I could think of.

It is a little scary, isn't it? Is this the great conspiracy against human freedom?

Before the personal computer, most people thought computers were the great enemy of freedom. When the PC came along, many people realized that millions of computers in the hands of citizens were a defence against tyranny. Now in the new millennium, we see how governments can use networks for overarching surveillance and enforcement; that is scary.

But one of the ideas I am trying to get at with "Rainbows End" is the possibility that government abuse may turn out to be irrelevant: As technology becomes more important, there governments need to provide the illusion of freedom for the millions of people who must be happy and creative in order for the economy to succeed. Altogether, these people are more diverse and resourceful (and even more coordinated!) than any government. Online databases, computer networks, and social networks give this trend an enormous boost. In the end, that "illusion of freedom" may have to be more like the real thing than has ever been true in history. With the Internet, the people may achieve a new kind of populism, powered by deep knowledge, self-interest so broad as to reasonably be called tolerance, and an automatic, preternatural vigilance.

Computerworld Buyer's Guide - Vendors Matched to this Article

Comments

Post new comment

Login or register to link comments to your user profile, or you may also post a comment without being logged in.
The content of this field is kept private and will not be shown publicly.
Enter the fully qualified URL, eg. http://www.example.com/
  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.
  • Allowed HTML tags: <a> <em> <strong> <cite> <code> <ul> <ol> <li> <dl> <dt> <dd>
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.

More information about formatting options

Add to Google
Computerworld Buyer's Guide - Vendors Matched to this Article
Zones
Zone logoZones provide focussed content from Computerworld and leading technology partners.
Newsletter Subscription
Newsletter Subscription
Sign up for our Computerworld newsletters!
Syndicate content
 

Computerworld Webinar

Thursday, June 11th, 2009
10:30am EST (Sydney, Australia)
Screening at your PC

Computerworld is hosting a 30 minute live webinar to help you to learn how unified communications can save you money, foster innovation and business agility by making it easier for people to find, reach and collaborate with one another.

Register Now

Computerworld Community Comments
Whitepaper

Keeping your SQL Server Going 24x7

The SQL Server is the vital link between corporate data and enterprise applications. With compliance and regulatory implications, as well as business disruption, keeping data up-to-date and flowing 24x7 has to be the goal. Keep your SQL server going - read more now.

Enterprise IT Buyer's Guide
Find Technology Vendors Fast
 
Find vendors by name | Find by category
Sponsored Links
 
Send Us E-mail | Privacy Policy
Features List | Media Kit | Advertising | Contact Us

Copyright 2009 IDG Communications. ABN 14 001 592 650. All rights reserved.
Reproduction in whole or in part in any form or medium without express written permission of IDG Communications is prohibited.